FIFA World Cup Value Bets
FIFA World Cup · Live odds from 94 bookmakers
We compare FIFA World Cup odds from all major bookmakers every 30 minutes. Our algorithm removes the bookmaker margin and identifies markets where the best available price exceeds the true no-vig probability.
EV is calculated as: EV = (odds x no_vig_probability) - 1. Any result above 0% is a value bet. We show only bets with EV between 1% and 20%.
Compare all FIFA World Cup odds →
| # | Event | Outcome | Market | Best Odds | Bookmaker | EV% | Kelly $1k | Starts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Draw | h2h | 2.40 | 888sport ↗ | +7.28% | $13 | ||
| 2 | Argentina | h2h | 1.65 | Nordic Bet ↗ | +7.26% | $28 | ||
| 3 | Japan | h2h | 1.55 | Nordic Bet ↗ | +6.68% | $30 | ||
| 4 | Uruguay | h2h | 1.52 | 1xBet ↗ | +6.44% | $31 | ||
| 5 | USA | h2h | 2.21 | GTbets | +6.25% | $13 | ||
| 6 | Senegal | h2h | 1.37 | GTbets | +6.01% | $41 | ||
| 7 | Netherlands | h2h | 1.34 | GTbets | +5.96% | $44 | ||
| 8 | Mexico | h2h | 2.10 | GTbets | +5.83% | $13 | ||
| 9 | Germany | h2h | 1.78 | GTbets | +5.59% | $18 | ||
| 10 | Portugal | h2h | 1.25 | GTbets | +5.05% | $50 | ||
| 11 | Panama | h2h | 14.00 | Coolbet | +4.94% | $1 | ||
| 12 | Algeria | h2h | 1.62 | Nordic Bet ↗ | +4.83% | $19 | ||
| 13 | Draw | h2h | 3.30 | TAB | +4.83% | $5 | ||
| 14 | South Korea | h2h | 1.67 | Betfred (UK) ↗ | +4.75% | $18 | ||
| 15 | Belgium | h2h | 1.30 | GTbets | +4.74% | $39 | ||
| 16 | Spain | h2h | 1.61 | SportsBet | +4.65% | $19 | ||
| 17 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | h2h | 1.49 | Smarkets ↗ | +4.56% | $23 | ||
| 18 | Brazil | h2h | 1.42 | 1xBet ↗ | +4.53% | $27 | ||
| 19 | Belgium | h2h | 1.48 | 1xBet ↗ | +4.51% | $24 | ||
| 20 | Egypt | h2h | 1.65 | Hajper (SE) | +4.47% | $17 | ||
| 21 | Colombia | h2h | 1.55 | Betfair ↗ | +4.00% | $18 | ||
| 22 | Japan | h2h | 2.24 | Smarkets ↗ | +3.84% | $8 | ||
| 23 | Egypt | h2h | 2.15 | BetOnline.ag ↗ | +3.77% | $8 | ||
| 24 | Croatia | h2h | 1.59 | Smarkets ↗ | +3.77% | $16 | ||
| 25 | Saudi Arabia | h2h | 2.55 | Coolbet | +3.70% | $6 | ||
| 26 | Morocco | h2h | 1.23 | GTbets | +3.60% | $39 | ||
| 27 | Norway | h2h | 2.35 | Nordic Bet ↗ | +3.31% | $6 | ||
| 28 | Croatia | h2h | 1.68 | Smarkets ↗ | +3.24% | $12 | ||
| 29 | France | h2h | 1.85 | BetOnline.ag ↗ | +3.22% | $9 | ||
| 30 | England | h2h | 1.27 | LeoVegas ↗ | +3.19% | $30 | ||
| 31 | England | h2h | 1.25 | GTbets | +2.89% | $29 | ||
| 32 | Spain | h2h | 1.14 | Nordic Bet ↗ | +2.75% | $49 | ||
| 33 | France | h2h | 1.12 | GTbets | +2.50% | $52 | ||
| 34 | Portugal | h2h | 2.12 | Smarkets ↗ | +2.42% | $5 | ||
| 35 | Ivory Coast | h2h | 1.17 | GTbets | +2.09% | $31 | ||
| 36 | Argentina | h2h | 1.22 | Coolbet | +1.53% | $17 | ||
| 37 | Uzbekistan | h2h | 3.60 | Coolbet | +1.43% | $1 | ||
| 38 | DR Congo | h2h | 2.14 | Smarkets ↗ | +1.19% | $3 | ||
| 39 | Switzerland | h2h | 2.56 | Betfair | +1.19% | $2 | ||
| 40 | Draw | h2h | 3.20 | Betfred (UK) ↗ | +0.60% | $1 | ||
| 41 | Austria | h2h | 2.64 | Betfair | +0.12% | $0 |
How FIFA World Cup Value Bets Are Calculated
We fetch fifa world cup odds from all major bookmakers every 30 minutes. For each market, we calculate the consensus no-vig probability by averaging sharp bookmaker (Pinnacle) prices and removing the margin. When a bookmaker offers odds exceeding this fair price, the bet has positive expected value.
Formula: EV = (odds × no_vig_probability) - 1
A bet is a value bet when EV > 0%.