MMA & UFC Value Bets
Mixed Martial Arts · UFC, Bellator & more
We compare MMA odds from all major bookmakers every 30 minutes. Our algorithm removes the bookmaker margin and identifies markets where the best available price exceeds the true no-vig probability.
EV is calculated as: EV = (odds x no_vig_probability) - 1. Any result above 0% is a value bet. We show only bets with EV between 1% and 20%.
Compare all MMA odds →
| # | Event | Outcome | Market | Best Odds | Bookmaker | EV% | Kelly $1k | Starts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khalil Rountree | h2h | 4.25 | 1xBet ↗ | +7.29% | $6 | ||
| 2 | Max Holloway | h2h | 1.46 | 1xBet ↗ | +4.16% | $23 | ||
| 3 | Gillian Robertson | h2h | 2.85 | BetOnline.ag ↗ | +4.13% | $6 | ||
| 4 | Benoit Saint-Denis | h2h | 1.67 | 1xBet ↗ | +3.66% | $14 | ||
| 5 | Lone'er Kavanagh | h2h | 1.57 | Paddy Power ↗ | +2.62% | $11 | ||
| 6 | Michal Oleksiejczuk | h2h | 2.25 | Caesars | +2.37% | $5 | ||
| 7 | Farman Hasanov | h2h | 1.61 | Betway ↗ | +1.49% | $6 | ||
| 8 | Nazim Sadykhov | h2h | 1.44 | Betway ↗ | +1.28% | $7 | ||
| 9 | Daniil Donchenko | h2h | 1.22 | Betway ↗ | +0.65% | $7 | ||
| 10 | Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev | h2h | 1.25 | Paddy Power ↗ | +0.25% | $2 | ||
| 11 | Islam Makhachev | h2h | 1.29 | DraftKings ↗ | +0.17% | $1 |
How MMA Value Bets Are Calculated
We fetch mma odds from all major bookmakers every 30 minutes. For each market, we calculate the consensus no-vig probability by averaging sharp bookmaker (Pinnacle) prices and removing the margin. When a bookmaker offers odds exceeding this fair price, the bet has positive expected value.
Formula: EV = (odds × no_vig_probability) - 1
A bet is a value bet when EV > 0%.