MMA & UFC Value Bets
Mixed Martial Arts · UFC, Bellator & more
We compare MMA odds from all major bookmakers every 30 minutes. Our algorithm removes the bookmaker margin and identifies markets where the best available price exceeds the true no-vig probability.
EV is calculated as: EV = (odds x no_vig_probability) - 1. Any result above 0% is a value bet. We show only bets with EV between 1% and 20%.
Compare all MMA odds →
| # | Event | Outcome | Market | Best Odds | Bookmaker | EV% | Kelly $1k | Starts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hyder Amil | h2h | 2.60 | TAB | +5.40% | $8 | ||
| 2 | Ilia Topuria | h2h | 1.26 | 1xBet ↗ | +4.76% | $46 | ||
| 3 | Over 1.5 | totals | 1.83 | 1xBet ↗ | +2.16% | $7 | ||
| 4 | Manuel Torres | h2h | 2.14 | DraftKings ↗ | +2.00% | $4 | ||
| 5 | Max Holloway | h2h | 1.35 | Betfair | +1.97% | $14 | ||
| 6 | Lone'er Kavanagh | h2h | 1.58 | 1xBet ↗ | +1.83% | $8 | ||
| 7 | Khalil Rountree | h2h | 4.25 | 1xBet ↗ | +1.53% | $1 | ||
| 8 | Cory Sandhagen | h2h | 1.73 | 1xBet ↗ | +1.28% | $4 | ||
| 9 | Benoit Saint-Denis | h2h | 1.60 | 1xBet ↗ | +1.03% | $4 | ||
| 10 | Josh Hokit | h2h | 1.26 | Betfair ↗ | +1.01% | $10 | ||
| 11 | Manel Kape | h2h | 1.52 | DraftKings ↗ | +0.99% | $5 | ||
| 12 | Ciryl Gane | h2h | 1.95 | Betsson ↗ | +0.91% | $2 | ||
| 13 | Bo Nickal | h2h | 1.31 | Hard Rock Bet | +0.80% | $6 | ||
| 14 | Over 1.5 | totals | 1.67 | BetOnline.ag ↗ | +0.79% | $3 | ||
| 15 | Mauricio Ruffy | h2h | 1.17 | Betfair | +0.73% | $11 | ||
| 16 | Under 1.5 | totals | 1.87 | BetOnline.ag ↗ | +0.62% | $2 | ||
| 17 | Sean O'Malley | h2h | 1.25 | Winamax (FR) ↗ | +0.58% | $6 | ||
| 18 | Magomed Ankalaev | h2h | 1.32 | BetOnline.ag ↗ | +0.47% | $4 | ||
| 19 | Gable Steveson | h2h | 1.06 | 1xBet ↗ | +0.09% | $4 |
How MMA Value Bets Are Calculated
We fetch mma odds from all major bookmakers every 30 minutes. For each market, we calculate the consensus no-vig probability by averaging sharp bookmaker (Pinnacle) prices and removing the margin. When a bookmaker offers odds exceeding this fair price, the bet has positive expected value.
Formula: EV = (odds × no_vig_probability) - 1
A bet is a value bet when EV > 0%.