MMA & UFC Value Bets
Mixed Martial Arts · UFC, Bellator & more
We compare MMA odds from all major bookmakers every 30 minutes. Our algorithm removes the bookmaker margin and identifies markets where the best available price exceeds the true no-vig probability.
EV is calculated as: EV = (odds x no_vig_probability) - 1. Any result above 0% is a value bet. We show only bets with EV between 1% and 20%.
Compare all MMA odds →
| # | Event | Outcome | Market | Best Odds | Bookmaker | EV% | Kelly $1k | Starts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mackenzie Dern | h2h | 1.56 | DraftKings ↗ | +6.19% | $28 | ||
| 2 | Benoit Saint-Denis | h2h | 1.76 | 1xBet ↗ | +4.08% | $13 | ||
| 3 | Max Holloway | h2h | 1.48 | 1xBet ↗ | +3.83% | $20 | ||
| 4 | Tracy Cortez | h2h | 2.25 | Nordic Bet ↗ | +3.70% | $7 | ||
| 5 | Damian Pinas | h2h | 1.65 | 1xBet ↗ | +2.00% | $8 | ||
| 6 | Ryan Gandra | h2h | 1.71 | BetOnline.ag ↗ | +1.43% | $5 | ||
| 7 | Islam Makhachev | h2h | 1.30 | 1xBet ↗ | +1.28% | $11 | ||
| 8 | Cesar Almeida | h2h | 2.65 | BetOnline.ag ↗ | +1.18% | $2 | ||
| 9 | Lone'er Kavanagh | h2h | 1.50 | BetOnline.ag ↗ | +1.11% | $6 | ||
| 10 | Nikita Krylov | h2h | 2.89 | 1xBet ↗ | +1.06% | $1 | ||
| 11 | Dricus Du Plessis | h2h | 1.32 | BetOnline.ag ↗ | +0.70% | $5 | ||
| 12 | Luke Riley | h2h | 1.35 | 1xBet ↗ | +0.52% | $4 | ||
| 13 | Alessandro Costa | h2h | 1.43 | BetOnline.ag ↗ | +0.47% | $3 | ||
| 14 | Adrian Yanez | h2h | 1.28 | 1xBet ↗ | +0.27% | $2 | ||
| 15 | Terrance Mckinney | h2h | 1.71 | 1xBet ↗ | +0.24% | $1 |
How MMA Value Bets Are Calculated
We fetch mma odds from all major bookmakers every 30 minutes. For each market, we calculate the consensus no-vig probability by averaging sharp bookmaker (Pinnacle) prices and removing the margin. When a bookmaker offers odds exceeding this fair price, the bet has positive expected value.
Formula: EV = (odds × no_vig_probability) - 1
A bet is a value bet when EV > 0%.