🏆 NRL · Jun 20, 2026 · 09:35 UTC
Canterbury Bulldogs vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
Value bets 0
Canterbury Bulldogs vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles — Win Probability
Fair (no-vig) win probabilities derived from sharp-bookmaker consensus across NRL markets. Bookmaker margin removed using the no-vig method — these are the true implied chances of each outcome (avg margin in this market: 5.37%).
Canterbury Bulldogs win
32.3%
Draw
3.2%
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles win
64.6%
How is this win probability calculated?
Bookmaker odds include a built-in margin (vig/juice), typically 4-7%. To get the true probability of each outcome, we remove this margin proportionally across all outcomes — the no-vig method.
- Take implied probability from each outcome's odds:
1 / odds - Sum them (will exceed 100% due to bookmaker margin)
- Normalize each by the sum — result is fair probability
- Cross-check across multiple sharp books (Pinnacle, Betfair Ex) for consensus
When a single bookmaker offers odds higher than fair odds, the bet has positive EV. Learn more about no-vig probability · EV calculator
🏆
NO VALUE BETS FOUND
No positive EV opportunities detected for Canterbury Bulldogs vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles right now. Updated continuously across 94 bookmakers.
← All Value Bets EV ≥ 10% EV 5–10% EV 1–5% Kelly based on $1000 bankroll · quarter Kelly (0.25×)
18+ · Ad · T&Cs Apply